AI & Tech
Ryan Greenblatt predicts 35–40% chance of AI takeover by 2040
Dwarkesh Patel Podcast
Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?
What was said
"By 2040 um let's see uh maybe around 35 or 40%."
Ryan Greenblatt predicts the odds of what he would classify as an AI “takeover” by 2040 at about 35–40%. He adds that the most likely route could be messy and unlike any single scenario discussed. Greenblatt says the core risk is humans losing understanding and control as AI systems scale.
Verification status
Attributed speaker claim
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Source and context
Egleze verified who said this and where. The underlying claim has not been independently established by Egleze.
- Speaker
- Ryan Greenblatt · guest
- Programme
- Dwarkesh Patel Podcast
- Episode
- Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?
- Clip time
- 2:07:58
- Original source
- Watch the source segment →
From this episode
Dwarkesh Patel Podcast