AI & Tech
Ryan Greenblatt predicts automated R&D by 2030–2031, human-level job median 2033
Dwarkesh Patel Podcast
Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?
What was said
"“Yeah, I would say that I expect full automation of R&D perhaps somewhere around 2031, 2030, and then getting to the beats all humans on the job milestone, maybe I expect median around 2033.”"
Ryan Greenblatt predicts AI will fully automate R&D around 2030–2031. He also says his median expectation for a system that ‘beats all humans on the job’ is around 2033.
Verification status
Attributed speaker claim
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Source and context
Egleze verified who said this and where. The underlying claim has not been independently established by Egleze.
- Speaker
- Ryan Greenblatt · guest
- Programme
- Dwarkesh Patel Podcast
- Episode
- Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?
- Clip time
- 3:02
- Original source
- Watch the source segment →
From this episode
Dwarkesh Patel Podcast