China Could Control Taiwan Without Invasion Through Trade Sovereignty Assertion

What was said

"What they can do is they can assert their sovereignty over Taiwanese trade. The Chinese can rock up in say coast guard vessels and say you know how this is a province of China and everybody goes yeah I guess we kind of did say that well we're going to run the the the commerce from now we'll be collecting duties on imports and we'll be we'll be monitoring exports."

Ferguson argues China's most likely Taiwan strategy is not military invasion but asserting legal control over the island's commerce through coast guard enforcement, effectively claiming sovereignty without war. This would give Beijing control over 90% of the world's most advanced semiconductor production at TSMC. The U.S. would face a dilemma: escalate to military confrontation or accept the fait accompli as it did with Hong Kong.