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The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel

All-In Podcast · 5 Egleze moments
The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
Episode summary

In this conversation hosted by Jason Calacanis at what appears to be an investor event, Cerebras Systems founder Andrew Feldman, Planet Labs CEO Will Marshall, and Altimeter Capital founder Brad Gerstner discuss the recent IPO experiences of two of the most consequential newly public companies in AI and space technology. Feldman's Cerebras went public just three weeks prior after a decade of development, pricing at $185 per share with the stock opening at $320 and reaching a $50-60 billion market cap despite significant regulatory challenges including CFIUS scrutiny over UAE investors. Planet Labs, which went public via SPAC in 2021 at a $2 billion valuation, has since experienced a 10x stock appreciation to approximately $20 billion as investors recognized the strategic importance of daily Earth imaging capabilities. Marshall revealed that 60% of Planet's revenue now comes from military and security applications, higher than initially anticipated, and made the striking prediction that most computing infrastructure will move to space within a decade. He cited a joint Google study showing space-based data centers will become economically superior to terrestrial facilities within 2-3 years as SpaceX's Starship drives launch costs down from $1,000 per kilogram to $200-300 per kilogram. Feldman explained Cerebras' architectural innovation of building dinner-plate-sized chips with integrated memory, enabling processing speeds 15-18 times faster than NVIDIA GPUs for AI workloads. The conversation tackled the tension between LP demands for immediate liquidity and historical evidence that most value creation occurs post-IPO, with both companies serving as examples of successful venture capital plays in public markets. The panel advocated for earlier IPOs rather than staying private indefinitely, arguing that public market scrutiny and accountability drive better execution and allow broader investor participation in value creation that has historically accrued only to late-stage private investors.

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5 moments from this episode

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01
Military

Planet Labs Reveals 60 Percent of Revenue Now Comes From Military

Planet Labs CEO Will Marshall disclosed that military and security applications now account for 60% of the company's revenue, a higher proportion than initially anticipated when the company launched. Marshall defended the shift by arguing their satellite imaging capabilities enable governments to see threats weeks or months in advance, potentially preventing conflicts. The company's stock has risen 10x over the past year as investors recognize the strategic value of real-time global Earth imaging.

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02
AI & Tech

Space Data Centers Will Be Cheaper Than Terrestrial in 2 to 3 Years

Will Marshall revealed that Google and Planet Labs conducted a joint study concluding that space-based data centers will become economically superior to Earth-based facilities once SpaceX's Starship reduces launch costs from the current $1,000 per kilogram to $200-300 per kilogram. Marshall stated this threshold is 2-3 years away, though he acknowledged technical challenges around building satellite clusters in orbit remain unsolved. The development could shift trillions of dollars in computing infrastructure off-planet within the next decade.

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03
AI & Tech

Planet Labs CEO Says Most Compute Will Move to Space Within Decade

Will Marshall, CEO of Planet Labs, predicted that within a decade the majority of computing infrastructure will be located in space rather than on Earth. He cited a Google study showing space-based data centers will become cheaper than terrestrial ones when launch costs drop to $200-300 per kilogram, a threshold he expects to reach in 2-3 years. The company is already partnering with Google and NVIDIA to launch chips into orbit, marking what could become a multi-trillion dollar industry transformation.

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04
Money

Cerebras Founder Claims More Money Made After IPO Than Before in Most Cases

Andrew Feldman, CEO of Cerebras, argued that contrary to LP pressure for early distributions, historical data shows investors capture more value by holding shares post-IPO rather than selling at the public offering. Brad Gerstner supported this with examples including Planet Labs, which achieved a 10x return in public markets, and MongoDB, which went from $1 billion pre-IPO to $50 billion in 24 months. The discussion highlighted tension between LP demands for liquidity and the reality that most value creation happens after going public.

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05
AI & Tech

Cerebras IPO Opens at 320 Dollars After 185 Dollar Pricing Range

Brad Gerstner revealed that Cerebras Systems, the AI chip company that just went public, experienced massive investor demand with the stock opening at $320 per share after a twice-increased pricing of $185. Despite settling at $230, the company achieved a $50-60 billion valuation within weeks of going public. Gerstner noted the path was particularly challenging due to UAE investors triggering CFIUS scrutiny under the Biden administration before becoming 'really easy' in the final 12 months.

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