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Seawright says ACA subsidy lapse is driving sharp premium rises in red states

Reality Check with Ross Coulthart · Can Republicans deliver for the working class? Debate with Antjuan Seawright | Prove It! with Batya · July 21, 2026
Seawright says ACA subsidy lapse is driving sharp premium rises in red states
Reality Check with Ross Coulthart
Reality Check with Ross Coulthart
Can Republicans deliver for the working class? Debate with Antjuan Seawright | Prove It! with Batya
"I think about health care. The 25 million Americans who are now paying double, quadruple, and triple for their premiums, co-pays, and deductibles. That includes the 18.2 million Americans in red states that Donald Trump won."
Democratic strategist Antjuan Seawright argues Republicans have worsened the affordability crisis by not extending enhanced Affordable Care Act tax credits, which he says has left millions facing steep increases in insurance costs. He claims 25 million Americans are paying substantially more in premiums and cost-sharing, including 18.2 million people in states Trump carried.

About this episode

NewsNation’s Batya Ungar-Sargon debates Democratic strategist Antjuan Seawright on whether Republicans can “deliver for the working class”, with a focus on Black voters and the political realignment around class. Ungar-Sargon argues that day-to-day costs such as fuel and food dominate working-class concerns, defends tariffs as a tool to reshore manufacturing, and says immigration enforcement and deportations were a central demand she heard when interviewing working-class voters.

Seawright challenges the framing of “working class” as implicitly white, and contends that Trump-era economic policies have benefited wealthy Americans while leaving households facing a broader affordability squeeze. He points in particular to health insurance costs, saying failure to extend enhanced ACA tax credits has sharply increased premiums for millions, including in states Trump won, and he criticises proposed cuts to Medicaid and SNAP. The pair also clash on student-loan relief, with Ungar-Sargon arguing it shifts costs to non-college workers, while Seawright describes debt relief as targeted help for borrowers from working-class backgrounds.

On immigration, Seawright cites figures he attributes to the Cato Institute to argue most ICE arrests involve people without criminal convictions and that relatively few involve violent histories, while Ungar-Sargon counters that polling suggests broad support for deporting all undocumented migrants. Seawright says Trump’s 2024 gains with Black men were fuelled by misinformation and distrust in Democratic institutions, and he frames 2026 midterms as the near-term strategic test before 2028.

Key takeaways

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