Money
U.S. Equity Valuations Exceed Dot-Com Bubble Peak by Adjusted Metric
Forward Guidance
Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen
What was said
"The adjusted Warren Buffett metric is now higher than it was in 1Q2000. It's higher than it was in 4Q21. It's the only time in 65 years— it's higher than it's been in 65 years. And the only time it's been close is 1Q2000 and 4Q21, both of which time were terrible times to own stocks."
Groman's proprietary valuation metric, which adjusts the Warren Buffett indicator by subtracting federal debt from equity market cap, shows current U.S. stock valuations exceed the 2000 dot-com peak and the 2021 highs. This represents the highest reading in 65 years of data, with the only comparable periods preceding major market crashes. He argues this extreme overvaluation compounds risks from rising bond yields.
Verification status
Attributed speaker claim
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Source and context
Egleze verified who said this and where. The underlying claim has not been independently established by Egleze.
- Programme
- Forward Guidance
- Episode
- Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen
- Clip time
- 50:32
- Original source
- Watch the source segment →
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Forward Guidance