Society
Demographer Reveals 40 Percent of 15 Year Old Girls Won't Become Mothers
Modern Wisdom
Birth Rate Debate: Why Is No One Having Kids? - #1099
"If you're 15 years old today in the US and you live the next 25 years throughout your fertility window, just like fertility patterns right now in the US, pretty much 6 out of 10 will become mothers and 4 out of 10 will not."
Demographer Lyman Stone cited synthetic cohort data showing that if current US fertility patterns persist, 40% of today's 15-year-old girls will never become mothers. This reflects the collapse in first-time births driving fertility decline, not family size among those who do have children.
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