Money
Bitcoin Has Exhausted All Its Narratives According to FX Veteran
Forward Guidance
Think Like Everyone Else, Lose Like Everyone Else | Brent Donnelly
"It was digital gold. It was a risky asset for a long time. Unfortunately, like none of those things have exactly panned out. If you're buying Bitcoin, what are you actually cheering for? What outcome are you looking for that takes Bitcoin to 150,000? The majority of people have kind of moved on."
Donnelly argues Bitcoin has cycled through and exhausted every major narrative that previously drove bull runs—from peer-to-peer cash to inflation hedge to digital gold. He questions what new narrative could emerge to drive another major rally, suggesting the asset may face an extended period without the transformative storylines that fueled past cycles. He notes this narrative exhaustion represents a fundamental challenge to Bitcoin's bull case.
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Forward Guidance