AI & Tech
FutureSearch AI has been profitably trading on prediction markets using forecasts
Cognitive Revolution
AI Superforecasters?!
"FutureSearch has been making hundreds of trades. They're on our website so you can see them. Our profitability is fluctuating wildly at a low sample size, so it's kind of hard to say. But I think if you see an AI that is forecasting, not like market making, not arbitraging, but actually just what FutureSearch does, if that's beating the market at all, like even a little bit, that's already the claim basically that an AI system is outperforming an entire crowd of humans who are all working together to produce a price."
FutureSearch's AI forecaster has made hundreds of real-money trades on Polymarket and Kalshi based purely on forecasting edge, not market-making or arbitrage. While profitability fluctuates due to small sample size, any consistent profit would represent AI outperforming aggregated human crowd wisdom in prediction markets.
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Cognitive Revolution