US Warns Poland of Possible Russian Provocation to Test NATO Resolve

What was said

"The US has warned Poland that Russia may be preparing a limited armed provocation on Polish territory within months to test NATO's resolve. Possible scenarios include Russian missile or drone strikes on Polish critical infrastructure, cyber or hybrid attacks, or a small cross-border incursion from Kaliningrad or Belarus disguised as an accident."

According to The Telegraph, US intelligence has warned Poland that Russia may conduct limited military provocations including fake border incursions or strikes on infrastructure. Glenn Diesen says Russia may need to restore deterrence as Europeans prepare to escalate, though he questions whether NATO would actually invoke Article 5 in response.