Iran Believes Netanyahu Will Launch Another War Before October Elections to Avoid Jail

What was said

"By October the Israelis are going to have their elections and Prime Minister Netanyahu is already in a bad shape as a result of the MOU as a result of him not being able to deliver the United States. He's being attacked by all sides for this failure from their perspective. And if he loses that election, he just doesn't lose his political career. He will then also lose his immunity when it comes to the corruption charges that he faced and as a result may end up in jail. So he has all the incentives in the world right now, both political, personal, and strategic, to launch a war."

Trita Parsi reported that Iranian officials believe Prime Minister Netanyahu will inevitably launch another war before Israel's October elections to avoid losing power and facing corruption charges that could land him in prison. This assessment is based on Netanyahu's political vulnerability following the ceasefire agreement and his failure to achieve stated war objectives. The prediction suggests high probability of renewed Middle East conflict driven by Netanyahu's personal legal jeopardy rather than strategic necessity.