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Passive Easing Is Fueling The Next Inflation Wave | Danny Dayan

Forward Guidance · 6 May 2026 · 3 Egleze moments
Passive Easing Is Fueling The Next Inflation Wave | Danny Dayan ▶

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Programme
Forward Guidance
Published
6 May 2026
Original episode
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3 moments from this episode

Source-linked · editorially selected
01
Money

Analyst Warns Inflation Like Disease That Will Worsen Without Aggressive Treatment

at 0:21 · Attributed speaker claim
Unfortunately, inflation is like a disease. If you don't kill it, it'll just stick around and linger and it'll get worse and worse and worse.

Danny Dee criticizes policymakers for having no tolerance for economic pain, comparing inflation to a disease that must be eliminated rather than managed. He argues the Fed's hesitance to take aggressive action is hurting lower-income Americans the most through persistently high food and energy prices.

02
Money

Danny Dee Says Last Year's Fed Rate Cuts Were Major Policy Mistake

at 4:05 · Attributed speaker claim
I called very loudly proclaiming to clients as well as on X that last year's rate cuts were a policy mistake. A big part of it is I didn't think they understood the labor supply issue.

Macro analyst Danny Dee argues the Federal Reserve misread labor market conditions and cut rates prematurely last year. He believes the rate cuts reinvigorated interest-rate sensitive sectors of the economy and contributed to accelerating inflation, with core inflation running at 4.4% annualized before recent conflicts.

03
Money

Fed's Neutral Rate Model Broken for 15 Years Creating Systematic Policy Errors

at 37:21 · Attributed speaker claim
That model, if you look at it from their own website, this is not my chart, this is their chart, has broken for 15, 16 years at this point. You know, it broke in 2010.

Danny Dee argues the Federal Reserve's primary neutral rate model has been disconnected from economic reality since 2010, leading to systematic policy mistakes. He claims the Fed estimates neutral at 3% when it's actually around 4.5%, causing them to consistently overestimate unemployment and underestimate inflation and growth.